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Abstract #1149

Inverse Dependence Between Patient Population and Correlation of Composite MRI Scores with EDSS in Multiple Sclerosis

Aziz Hatim Poonawalla1, Sushmita Datta1, Vaibhav Juneja1, Flavia Nelson2, Jerry Wolinsky2, Gary Cutter3, Ponnada Narayana1

1Diagnostic and Interventional Imaging, University of Texas Medical School at Houston, Houston, TX, USA; 2Neurology, University of Texas Medical School at Houston, Houston, TX, USA; 3Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham School of Public Health, Birmingham, AL, USA


In the relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) literature, r-values for correlation with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) of various quantitative MRI metrics range from 0.310.61, following a strong (r=-0.7) inverse trend with population sample size. To better characterize this dependence, we conducted numerical simulations on ever-larger subsets of a large (n=139) RRMS patient cohort. The simulations confirmed that the correlation with EDSS was inflated for smaller population sizes, converging to the baseline correlation value as n approached maximum, with a metric-dependent threshold for convergence. The results suggest that reported correlations may be overstated for small studies and understated for large ones.

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